Profitability Evaluation and Commercial Development Path of Natural Gas Power Generation Projects in Sichuan-Chongqing Region
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54097/trbnss68Keywords:
Natural gas power generation, Profitability, Commercial development, Energy transitionAbstract
Against the dual strategic backgrounds of the “dual carbon” goal and the construction of the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle, natural gas power generation, as a clean and efficient peak-shaving power source, plays a vital role in the energy transition and power supply security in the Sichuan-Chongqing region. Taking the natural gas power generation industry in Sichuan-Chongqing as the research object, this paper systematically sorts out the regional natural gas resource endowment, operation models and development status of gas power projects, deeply analyzes the practical dilemmas of gas power projects in gas source procurement, electricity price mechanisms, cost control and market competition, measures and judges the profit prospects of the projects, and identifies business opportunities and potential risks from the dimensions of policy environment, resource advantages, market demand and technological iteration. The research shows that:(1)Gas power projects in Sichuan-Chongqing are currently generally faced with problems such as insufficient gas source guarantee, excessively high fuel cost ratio, inadequate implementation of two-part electricity price, and low profitability.(2)Under the conditions of improved electricity price mechanism, improved unit efficiency and integrated development of gas power and new energy, projects can achieve low-margin operation, and peak-shaving gas power and cogeneration in industrial parks have priority development value.(3)Short-term commercial opportunities are better than long-term ones, Chongqing market has higher potential than Sichuan, and gas power projects should transform into peak-shaving reserve, multi-energy complementation and integrated energy service providers.
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